GGOALVIO

England · Women's Championship · 9/10/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crystal Palace W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Crystal Palace W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Durham W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Crystal Palace W hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Women's Championship, while Crystal Palace W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crystal Palace W

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Crystal Palace W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crystal Palace WWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Durham WWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Crystal Palace WDurham W
83.3Attack36.4
69.7Defence33.3
69.7Form34.8
71.5Power37.1
3.82xG0.55
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