Crystal Palace Wvs
Charlton Athletic W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crystal Palace W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace W 3-0 Charlton Athletic W
Original prediction
Crystal Palace W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.1% | 49.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.0% | 25.2% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Crystal Palace W
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Crystal Palace W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80