GGOALVIO

England · Community Shield · 8/10/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crystal Palace · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crystal Palace are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Liverpool are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Community Shield, while Crystal Palace holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crystal Palace

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Crystal Palace has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crystal PalaceWDWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LiverpoolWWLWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.56xG1.33
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