Crystal Palacevs
Liverpool
COMPLETEDEngland · Community Shield · 8/10/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crystal Palace · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crystal Palace are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Liverpool are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Community Shield, while Crystal Palace holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crystal Palace
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Crystal Palace has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80