Crystal Palace U21vs
Southampton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crystal Palace U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace U21 2-5 Southampton U21
Original prediction
Crystal Palace U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.8% | 37.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 25.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 37.2% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Crystal Palace U21
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Crystal Palace U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60