Crystal Palace U21vs
Paris Saint-Germain U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Premier League International Cup · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crystal Palace U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace U21 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain U21
Original prediction
Crystal Palace U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.7% | 36.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 27.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.7% | 35.8% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Crystal Palace U21
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Crystal Palace U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00