Crystal Palace U21vs
Blackburn Rovers U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crystal Palace U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 4-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace U21 0-1 Blackburn Rovers U21
Original prediction
Crystal Palace U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.6% | 56.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.5% | 20.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 15.8% | 22.7% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.4–27%
Predicted outcome
Crystal Palace U21
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Crystal Palace U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00