GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro Women · 8/31/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cruzeiro W 0-1 Corinthians W

Original prediction

Corinthians W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7524.1%29.6%5.5 pts
Draw3.4026.5%28.2%1.6 pts
Away1.8349.4%42.3%-7.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

Corinthians W

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Corinthians W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruzeiro WDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Corinthians WLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cruzeiro WCorinthians W
58.8Attack82.4
62.7Defence64.7
54.9Form74.5
59.2Power73.0
1.29xG1.76
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