Cruzeirovs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cruzeiro are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80