GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/17/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union La Calera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruzeiro

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CruzeiroWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Union La CaleraLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CruzeiroUnion La Calera
41.0Attack9.5
74.4Defence66.7
59.0Form33.3
60.0Power39.2
1.03xG0.40
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