GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cruzeiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CruzeiroLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
CruzeiroMushuc Runa SC
41.0Attack59.3
74.4Defence74.1
59.0Form81.5
60.0Power73.8
0.70xG0.85
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