Cruzeirovs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/27/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cruzeiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.0 against 58.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80