GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/23/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cruzeiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CruzeiroDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Boca JuniorsWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CruzeiroBoca Juniors
41.0Attack44.4
74.4Defence77.8
59.0Form66.7
60.0Power64.7
0.99xG0.63
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