Cruzeirovs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/23/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cruzeiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80