GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Serie A, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruzeiro

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CruzeiroWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CruzeiroAtletico-MG
45.5Attack42.9
53.0Defence57.1
50.0Form46.0
51.3Power50.1
1.26xG1.09
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