Cruzeirovs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Serie A, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80