Cruzeirovs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/12/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cruzeiro are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00