Cruzeiro U20vs
Goiás U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruzeiro U20 1-2 Goiás U20
Original prediction
Cruzeiro U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.0% | 46.0% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 24.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.3% | 29.2% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro U20
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Cruzeiro U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20