GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro U20 · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruzeiro U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cruzeiro U20 2-1 Coimbra U20

Original prediction

Cruzeiro U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3168.0%58.1%-9.9 pts
Draw4.5619.6%23.6%4.0 pts
Away7.1612.5%18.3%5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Cruzeiro U20

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Cruzeiro U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruzeiro U20WWWDD

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Coimbra U20DWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cruzeiro U20Coimbra U20
76.5Attack33.3
56.9Defence72.5
68.6Form52.9
66.3Power55.3
1.43xG0.77
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