Cruz Azul Wvs
Toluca W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/25/2026, 12:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul W 1-2 Toluca W
Original prediction
Toluca W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.7% | 16.4% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.4% | 16.5% | -7.9 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.9% | 67.1% | 20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60