GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 3/13/2025, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cruz Azul W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 51.5-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz Azul WWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz Azul WToluca W
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
43.3Power94.8
1.61xG2.46
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