GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 4/22/2024, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cruz Azul W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Toluca W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 51.5-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz Azul WLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WLLDDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cruz Azul WToluca W
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
43.3Power94.8
1.61xG2.46
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