Cruz Azul Wvs
Pumas UNAM W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pumas UNAM W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul W 3-2 Pumas UNAM W
Original prediction
Pumas UNAM W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.4% | 28.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 21.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.3% | 50.4% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Pumas UNAM W
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Pumas UNAM W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20