Cruz Azul Wvs
Guadalajara W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul W 0-1 Guadalajara W
Original prediction
Guadalajara W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.6% | 18.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 17.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.6% | 63.8% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara W
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60