Cruz Azulvs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul 1-0 Santos Laguna
Original prediction
Cruz Azul
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 67.5% | 61.2% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.7% | 20.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.71 | 13.8% | 18.1% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40