Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 06:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Leon
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Leon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cruz AzulDLLWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeonWDWLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cruz AzulLeon
63.3Attack46.7
40.0Defence63.3
53.3Form56.7
54.7Power57.6
1.49xG1.55