GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/22/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cruz Azul are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Inter Miami are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Leagues Cup, while Cruz Azul holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruz Azul

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz AzulLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiLDDDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz AzulInter Miami
44.4Attack77.8
66.7Defence22.2
66.7Form33.3
62.6Power45.5
1.95xG1.38
View match centre →