Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceCruz Azul are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and cruz Azul hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Cruz Azul with 11.6% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
11.6%
Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cruz AzulWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AtlasLLLWW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cruz AzulAtlas
77.8Attack44.4
33.3Defence55.6
66.7Form66.7
62.6Power58.8
1.78xG1.40