Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul 0-2 Atlas
Original prediction
Cruz Azul
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cruz AzulLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AtlasWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz AzulAtlas
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence58.3
50.0Form75.0
53.0Power64.5
1.59xG1.58