GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Cruz Azul U21 0-0 Santos Laguna U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Cruz Azul U21 4-0 Santos Laguna U21

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2939.2%35.4%-3.8 pts
Draw3.3027.2%30.7%3.6 pts
Away2.6733.7%33.9%0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Projected Score

Cruz Azul U21 0–0 Santos Laguna U21

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.7%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz Azul U21LDDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santos Laguna U21WDLDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Cruz Azul U21Santos Laguna U21
38.9Attack22.2
55.6Defence83.3
27.8Form50.0
44.0Power55.0
0.84xG0.84
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