GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruz Azul U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cruz Azul U21 1-2 Club America U21

Original prediction

Cruz Azul U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.5%42.4%3.0 pts
Draw3.3327.0%27.1%0.1 pts
Away2.6833.6%30.4%-3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Cruz Azul U21

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Cruz Azul U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz Azul U21WLDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club America U21DDDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cruz Azul U21Club America U21
52.4Attack42.9
61.9Defence61.9
38.1Form47.6
50.8Power53.0
1.28xG0.97
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