GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership Women · 5/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derry City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Crusaders W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Derry City W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (31.1 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Premiership Women, while Derry City W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Derry City W

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Derry City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crusaders WDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Derry City WLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Crusaders WDerry City W
58.3Attack63.9
0.0Defence19.4
36.1Form27.8
31.1Power35.3
3.27xG3.67
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