Crusaders FCvs
Portadown
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portadown · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Crusaders FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portadown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and portadown hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premiership, favouring Portadown with 14.3% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portadown
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
14.3%
Portadown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80