Crusaders FCvs
Limavady United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crusaders FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crusaders FC 1-2 Limavady United
Original prediction
Crusaders FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.2% | 50.1% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 24.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.0% | 25.8% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Crusaders FC
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Crusaders FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60