GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crusaders FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crusaders FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dungannon Swifts are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Crusaders FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Premiership, while Crusaders FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crusaders FC

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Crusaders FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crusaders FCWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dungannon SwiftsLDWLW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Crusaders FCDungannon Swifts
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power47.8
1.54xG1.19
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