Crusaders FCvs
Coleraine FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crusaders FC 0-5 Coleraine FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.28 | 10.9% | 16.8% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.30 | 17.1% | 20.3% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.0% | 62.9% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40