Crusaders FCvs
Bangor
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crusaders FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crusaders FC 2-1 Bangor
Original prediction
Crusaders FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.1% | 55.4% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 22.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.9% | 22.1% | -10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Crusaders FC
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Crusaders FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60