Crusaders FCvs
Ballymena United
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crusaders FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Crusaders FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ballymena United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballymena United hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Premiership, while Crusaders FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crusaders FC
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
13.0%
Crusaders FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40