GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Croydon Kings are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while West Adelaide are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croydon Kings

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

6.8%

Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West AdelaideWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Croydon KingsWest Adelaide
69.7Attack60.6
37.9Defence33.3
45.5Form37.9
51.2Power44.9
3.13xG2.08
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