GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 2/25/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Croydon Kings are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croydon Kings

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Sturt LionsL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Croydon KingsSturt Lions
69.7Attack53.0
37.9Defence45.5
45.5Form40.9
51.2Power46.5
2.55xG1.83
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