GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Croydon Kings are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adelaide Comets are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croydon Kings

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CometsLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Croydon KingsAdelaide Comets
69.7Attack37.9
37.9Defence42.4
45.5Form30.3
51.2Power38.5
2.75xG1.28
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