GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Crown Legacy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New York City II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crown Legacy hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Crown Legacy holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

8.9%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crown LegacyDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
New York City IIWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Crown LegacyNew York City II
81.8Attack55.0
54.5Defence50.0
65.2Form51.7
66.3Power53.1
2.80xG1.35
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