GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Crown Legacy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Crown Legacy hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Crown Legacy holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

8.4%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crown LegacyWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Connecticut FCLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Crown LegacyConnecticut FC
82.5Attack63.5
55.6Defence41.3
66.7Form50.8
67.3Power52.9
3.33xG1.52
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