Crown Legacyvs
Chicago Fire II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/4/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crown Legacy 4-0 Chicago Fire II
Original prediction
Crown Legacy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.7% | 59.0% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 17.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 23.1% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Crown Legacy
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20