GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Crown Legacy 2-2 Carolina Core

Original prediction

Crown Legacy

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4960.6%61.6%1.0 pts
Draw4.3220.9%20.1%-0.9 pts
Away4.8918.4%18.4%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.4–18%
  3. 3.3–08%

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crown LegacyWLWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Carolina CoreDLLWD

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Crown LegacyCarolina Core
80.8Attack47.4
53.8Defence35.9
62.8Form30.8
64.8Power39.7
3.68xG1.14
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