Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crotone · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Crotone are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Turris are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Crotone hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Crotone holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crotone
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Crotone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50