Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crotone · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
15%
HighconfidenceCrotone are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Foggia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and crotone hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone C, favouring Crotone with 15.3% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crotone
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
15.3%
Crotone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CrotoneLWWLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FoggiaLLDLW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CrotoneFoggia
47.4Attack35.1
58.8Defence61.4
45.6Form42.1
52.1Power47.8
1.19xG0.78