Croatia Zmijavcivs
Vukovar
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/13/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Croatia Zmijavci 2-3 Vukovar
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 28.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.4% | 28.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60