Croatia Zmijavcivs
Sesvete
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Croatia Zmijavci 0-0 Sesvete, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Croatia Zmijavci 2-0 Sesvete
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.7% | 39.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.7% | 30.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.6% | 30.5% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Croatia Zmijavci 0–0 Sesvete
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20