Croatia Zmijavcivs
Sesvete
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 8/20/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Croatia Zmijavci are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Sesvete are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sesvete hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the First NL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00