Croatia Zmijavcivs
Mladost Ždralovi
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Croatia Zmijavci 0-0 Mladost Ždralovi, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Mladost Ždralovi
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.4% | 45.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.4% | 30.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.2% | 24.0% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Croatia Zmijavci 0–0 Mladost Ždralovi
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40