Croatia Zmijavcivs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Croatia Zmijavci 0-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.7% | 45.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.2% | 28.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.1% | 25.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Croatia Zmijavci 0–0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00