Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Croatia
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Croatia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CroatiaLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CzechiaLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CroatiaCzechia
33.3Attack16.7
0.0Defence16.7
25.0Form0.0
22.4Power16.9
1.57xG1.17