UEFA U19 ChampionshipUEFA U19 Championship
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Croatia U19

Croatia U19

Home
LWD
13
Full time
Ukraine U19

Ukraine U19

Away
LWW
Nantporth Stadium
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Ukraine U19(34%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Ukraine U19
Win probability
Croatia U19
39%
Draw
27%
Ukraine U19
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Croatia U19
34
Ukraine U19
47
Defence
Croatia U19
66
Ukraine U19
66
Momentum
Croatia U19
44
Ukraine U19
67
Danger (xG)
Croatia U19
0.90
Ukraine U19
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Croatia U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ukraine U19)
1.20
avg per match
xG against (Croatia U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ukraine U19)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Croatia U19Croatia U19
LWDL
Ukraine U19Ukraine U19
LWWW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Croatia U1939%
Draw27%
Ukraine U1934%

Croatia U19 leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Croatia U19 head into this in UEFA U19 Championship fixture at Nantporth Stadium in mixed form (LWD), while Ukraine U19 arrive in decent form (LWW). Croatia U19 have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 67% for Ukraine U19 over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Croatia U19 (66/100) and Ukraine U19 (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Croatia U19 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Ukraine U19 have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Ukraine U19 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ukraine U19 to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Croatia U19 3945%, Draw 2665%, Ukraine U19 3390%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Croatia U19 0Draws 01 Ukraine U19
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Croatia U19
L13
Ukraine U19

Recent form

Croatia U19

Croatia U19

L
@ Spain U19
8 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Serbia U19
5 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Italy U19
2 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Ukraine U19
29 Jun 2026
13
Ukraine U19

Ukraine U19

L
vs Germany U19
8 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Italy U19
5 Jul 2026
10
W
@ Serbia U19
2 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Croatia U19
29 Jun 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Ukraine U19 to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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